Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.002060 0.002188 0.002321 0.002469 0.002630 0.002800 0.002992
2025-05-04 0.001914 0.002100 0.002301 0.002536 0.002803 0.003098 0.003452
2025-05-11 0.001825 0.002053 0.002309 0.002617 0.002981 0.003401 0.003926
2025-05-18 0.001727 0.001982 0.002274 0.002638 0.003081 0.003611 0.004298
2025-05-25 0.001610 0.001877 0.002190 0.002588 0.003086 0.003698 0.004517
2025-06-01 0.001523 0.001800 0.002131 0.002561 0.003113 0.003807 0.004765
2025-06-08 0.001469 0.001759 0.002112 0.002580 0.003192 0.003984 0.005109
2025-06-15 0.001402 0.001697 0.002062 0.002554 0.003211 0.004078 0.005344
2025-06-22 0.001345 0.001646 0.002022 0.002536 0.003237 0.004182 0.005595
2025-06-29 0.001291 0.001594 0.001979 0.002512 0.003250 0.004266 0.005819
2025-07-06 0.001237 0.001541 0.001929 0.002475 0.003244 0.004320 0.006002
2025-07-13 0.001176 0.001474 0.001860 0.002409 0.003191 0.004302 0.006072
2025-07-20 0.001149 0.001456 0.001858 0.002439 0.003284 0.004513 0.006530
2025-07-27 0.001132 0.001449 0.001872 0.002493 0.003416 0.004792 0.007121
2025-08-03 0.001123 0.001453 0.001900 0.002569 0.003584 0.005137 0.007854
2025-08-10 0.001097 0.001432 0.001891 0.002589 0.003667 0.005354 0.008392
2025-08-17 0.001050 0.001381 0.001837 0.002539 0.003639 0.005391 0.008615
2025-08-24 0.001014 0.001343 0.001801 0.002514 0.003647 0.005484 0.008946
2025-08-31 0.000994 0.001325 0.001794 0.002531 0.003724 0.005697 0.009522
2025-09-07 0.000962 0.001291 0.001760 0.002506 0.003729 0.005787 0.009868
2025-09-14 0.000935 0.001262 0.001732 0.002489 0.003747 0.005899 0.010268
2025-09-21 0.000907 0.001231 0.001701 0.002465 0.003750 0.005985 0.010622
2025-09-28 0.000877 0.001197 0.001664 0.002430 0.003732 0.006031 0.010896